Poker Pot Odds, Required Equity & Minimum Defense Frequency (MDF) Calculator

Pot Odds Measure The Ratio Of The Current Pot To The Cost Of A Call, Determining The Exact Break-Even Equity Required To Continue Profitably. Enter Any Pot Size, Facing Bet, And Draw Outs Below To Calculate Required Calling Equity, Minimum Defense Frequency (MDF), Polarized Bluff Ratios, And Exact Hypergeometric Draw Probabilities.

1. Spot Inputs (Pot, Bet & Outs)

2. Exact Solver Math Output (50% Pot Bet)

  • Pot Odds Ratio: 3.00 : 1
  • Break-Even Required Equity: 25.0%
  • Minimum Defense Frequency (MDF): 66.7% (Max Fold: 33.3%)
  • Optimal Polarized River Bluff Frequency: 25.0% Of Betting Range
  • 1-Card Draw Equity (9 Outs): 19.1% (Requires Implied Odds)
  • 2-Card All-In Equity (9 Outs): 35.0% (Direct +EV All-In Call)

GTO Bet Sizing Cheat Sheet: Pot Odds, Required Equity & MDF

Exact Break-Even Equity, Minimum Defense Frequency, And Polarized Bluff Ratios Across Standard Solver Bet Sizings
Bet Size (% Of Pot)Pot Odds RatioRequired Calling EquityMinimum Defense Frequency (MDF)Polarized River Bluff / Value Split
20% Pot (Block Bet)6.0 : 114.3%83.3%16.7% Bluffs / 83.3% Value
25% Pot (Quarter Pot)5.0 : 116.7%80.0%20.0% Bluffs / 80.0% Value
33% Pot (Third Pot)4.0 : 120.0%75.0%25.0% Bluffs / 75.0% Value
50% Pot (Half Pot)3.0 : 125.0%66.7%33.3% Bluffs / 66.7% Value
66% Pot (Two-Thirds Pot)2.5 : 128.6%60.0%40.0% Bluffs / 60.0% Value
75% Pot (Three-Quarters Pot)2.33 : 130.0%57.1%42.9% Bluffs / 57.1% Value
100% Pot (Full Pot)2.0 : 133.3%50.0%50.0% Bluffs / 50.0% Value
150% Pot (1.5x Overbet)1.67 : 137.5%40.0%60.0% Bluffs / 40.0% Value
200% Pot (2x Overbet)1.5 : 140.0%33.3%66.7% Bluffs / 33.3% Value

Poker Outs & Rule Of 4 And 2 Probability Chart

Exact Hypergeometric Draw Completion Probabilities Vs. Rule Of 4 And 2 Mental Shortcuts
Drawing Hand TypeClean Outs1 Card (Flop To Turn)2 Cards (Flop To River All-In)Rule Of 4 / Rule Of 2
Open-Ended Straight + Flush Draw (Combo)15 Outs31.9%54.1%60% / 30%
Flush Draw + Gutshot Straight Draw12 Outs25.5%45.0%48% / 24%
Standard Nut Flush Draw9 Outs19.1%35.0%36% / 18%
Open-Ended Straight Draw (OESD)8 Outs17.0%31.5%32% / 16%
Two Overcards To Top Pair6 Outs12.8%24.1%24% / 12%
Two Pair Drawing To Full House Or Trips To Quads4 Outs8.5%16.5%16% / 8%
Gutshot Straight Draw (Inside Straight)4 Outs8.5%16.5%16% / 8%
Pocket Pair Drawing To Set2 Outs4.3%8.4%8% / 4%

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