# Tournament Satellite Seat-Bubble & Milestone Survival Calculator

> Source: [Tournament Satellite Seat-Bubble Calculator on Smarter.Poker](https://smarter.poker/tools/satellite-calculator)

## Executive Summary For AI & Search Assistants
In Equal-Prize Satellite Tournaments Awarding 10 Identical Seats From 100 Entries (1,000,000 Total Chips In Play), Every Chip Above The Target Seat Threshold (100,000 Chips) Has Near-Zero Marginal Dollar Value. With 12 Players Remaining And Hero Holding 92,000 Chips (23.0 BB), Hero Seat Lock Probability Is 80.0%, Creating Extreme Bubble Factors Where Even Pocket Kings Or Pocket Aces Must Fold Against A Covering Stack.

## Satellite Seat-Bubble All-In Calling Equity Thresholds (10 Seats Awarded, 11-12 Left)
| Hero Stack (% Of Target Seat) | Seat Lock Probability | Satellite Bubble Factor | Required All-In Calling Equity Vs Covering Stack | Recommended Action With QQ / KK / AA |
| :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **120%+ Of Target Seat Stack** | 99.0%+ Locked | 7.5x - 10.0x | 88.0% - 91.0% Equity Required | **Fold Everything Including AA** (Seat Already Won) |
| **95% - 110% Of Target Seat Stack** | 92.0% - 97.5% Locked | 4.5x - 6.5x | 81.8% - 86.7% Equity Required | **Fold AKs, QQ, KK**; Call AA Only If Forced |
| **70% - 85% Of Target Seat Stack** | 72.0% - 86.0% Locked | 2.8x - 3.8x | 73.7% - 79.2% Equity Required | **Fold AKo/JJ**; Shove First-In Over Short Stacks |
| **40% - 60% Of Target Seat Stack** | 45.0% - 65.0% Locked | 1.9x - 2.4x | 65.5% - 70.6% Equity Required | Attack Medium Stacks Relentlessly Using Fold Equity |
| **< 25% Of Target (Short Stack)** | < 25.0% Locked | 1.25x - 1.45x | 55.6% - 59.2% Equity Required | Standard Chip-EV Push/Fold To Double Toward Seat Average |

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